This hand is from a separate night that any of the others I've posted, not that it makes that much difference.
We ($300) open to $7 with
and get flatted by a guy two to our left that has tortured us in position all night. Let's call him Eric. He's definitely the best player in the game (besides us, obv.) and he is stuck around $300 for the night. While he's generally very solid, as his losses go up, so does his looseness. He has around $180 to start this hand.
Everyone else folds and we take a flop:
(Pot $ 17) We are first to act and bet $13. Eric calls (pot $43) and turn is
. Again, this guy has tortured me in position tonight and I really find myself kinda lost when I get in these spots with him. He's good enough to raise the flop with a flush draw and then check for a free card. But, he's also good enough to know that I know that, so he's just as capable of calling with a draw as he is a King or even a pair between 22 and Kings.
What's our action?
If we check, are we calling and hoping to get to showdown cheap?
If we bet and are raised, what are we thinking about?
If we bet and get called, what are we doing on diamond rivers?
On non-diamond rivers?
[spoiler]Trying to decide weather to bet enough to price out a flush draw and checking in hopes of getting to showdown, I checked. He bet $30 relatively quickly. I called in tempo...probably 10 seconds or so.
I think we are obviously checking this river (unless a case could be made for putting out a defensive bet, which doesn't have much merit, IMO). So, obviously we are checking hoping for him to check behind and have a busted diamond draw...but, are we? As I checked, I remember hoping he bet. A check would likely come from a hand that almost always beats me. A bet, however, still has the option of being a busted draw. With the Ace on the river, it's really hard for him to bet a king now. So, unless he had the nut flush draw, the ace is almost a blank to me. [/spoiler]
[spoiler]As I said in my earlier analysis, I didn't think of this card as much of a threat. I checked with the intention of calling up to $50 on the river, unless he gave something away. He bet $40 pretty quickly and I tanked. I really didn't feel like he wanted a call here, and then he said something that really made my decision easy: "I think that river saved me; I didn't like my kicker. I tossed in the $40 pretty much the second he finished that statement. He said, "good call" and I tabled my tens. The table was impressed, but I don't think that it's that tough of a play when it's analysed well.[/spoiler]