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Author Topic: $3 plo mtt-thinking about bluffing river  (Read 330 times)
NotFadeAway
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Posts: 4403


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« on: Jul 12, 2010 at 22:23 »

Thoughts on all streets are appreciated.
11 left (and while this hand was going on a player went out at the other table, so it's really 10 left) in a $3 plo mtt.  Villain seems solid and probably sees me as lag.  His river bet seemed very weak to me and I wanted to bluff.  Does it look like a good spot?  If I try it how much is best?

PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, 3.3 Tournament, 2500/5000 Blinds (5 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

SB (t104170)
BB (t200264)
Hero (UTG) (t399966)
MP (t207724)
Button (t288834)

Hero's M: 53.33

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 10, 9, 10, A
Hero bets t15000, 3 folds, BB calls t10000

Flop: (t32500) J, 5, 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (t32500) 4 (2 players)
BB bets t14000, Hero calls t14000

River: (t60500) 3 (2 players)
BB bets t15000,
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Take my love.  Take my land.  Take me where I cannot stand.  I don't care.  I'm still free.  You can't take the sky from me.
holdemholmes
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Posts: 1867


« Reply #1 on: Jul 12, 2010 at 22:44 »

I'm no PLO expert by any means, but this is my take on it:

Flop: You're in position, I think this is a good flop to bet. J59 - you can easily represent some sort of wrap hand like kqj10 or maybe even an overpair to the board like akkq...soething along those lines.

Turn: Obvious blank on the turn....I think if you bet the flop it also gives you a much better idea as to where you're at after a blank like this turn...if he calls again it's time to shut down, but if he had some kinds of wek draw/top pair he will fold.

As for playing the turn after the check/check on the flop, I think this is an easy fold...you don't have much in the pot, you have middle pair, no flush/straight draw...i think it's time to let go.


Now with that being said...

River: If you would of led both streets and he still called, hes probably going to fold anything but a set here....and if he had a set you would of known it already...IMO.


As for bluffing the river:

The only real hand that a raise on the river can represent is 67, and is 67 in your range of hands to be raising in early position?

You're absolutely right, the bet does looks really, really weak, but at the same time a bluff does not make much sense to me as the only thing it represents is a busted draw IMO.
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"...she set you up with the old check and raise...."
NotFadeAway
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Posts: 4403


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« Reply #2 on: Jul 12, 2010 at 22:54 »

I'm certainly no plo expert either, and I had the concern that my hand would look like a busted draw.  The fact that we were on the final table bubble had a lot to do with wanting to bluff here also.  I thought it might make him lean toward folding a bit. 
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Take my love.  Take my land.  Take me where I cannot stand.  I don't care.  I'm still free.  You can't take the sky from me.
holdemholmes
Regular
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Posts: 1867


« Reply #3 on: Jul 12, 2010 at 22:56 »

I'm certainly no plo expert either, and I had the concern that my hand would look like a busted draw.  The fact that we were on the final table bubble had a lot to do with wanting to bluff here also.  I thought it might make him lean toward folding a bit. 

I definitely hear the final table bubble aspect of it, but i think you made the right move....if he is more of a solid player he may have called in that spot...i think you played it right.
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"...she set you up with the old check and raise...."
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