funny one

[FSL009]

So full ring online 25c/50c table it was on a euro site.

UTG limps everyone folds to the button.

Button bets $2.50  and has AhAc, SB and BB fold UTG calls.

Flop is 5s 4h 4d

UTG checks, Button bets out $4

UTG calls

Turn is 7s

UTG checks, Button bets out $6

UTG raises to $12, Button calls

River is Js

UTG bets out $10, Button goes all in, UTG calls.

immediately after this hand UTG left - it was obviously the last hand of the a reasonable session about 100 hands or something on this table. 

so question is what do you think UTG played with, and would you have done the actions as the button did given the way it played out.

oh VPIP for UTG on the table was 21, and was down on the table about $15 at the time.

over all UTG is a 27 VPIP over about 12000 hands.

Buttons VPIP was 20


Both aggression factors are high and both c-bet 100% (table stat)

[holdemholmes]

I'm gonna say either 55 or 77....but I could be way off on this one.

[luckystraights]

...

We need to know his pfr, so we know if he has weaker OVP's in his range. Its hard to tell, but I probably bet more on the turn and 3b a loose aggressive guy who is capable of having bluffs and weaker over pairs in his range.

Nah actually I don't like calling turn to induce a river bluff, if he's that bluffy otherwise I just 3b the turn.

[FSL009]

I dont know the PFR stats but I would suggest it is high, like 70-80% or something like that for both.

sorry originally took PFR as pre-flop raise % but I think your meaning range right...

are over pairs in the range?  yes I would think they have to be given the VPIP of UTG. 

[TwoToGo-Grave]

Looks like either 55, 77, or even something crazy like 67s, 45s or A4s or something.  None of those would surprise me one bit, certainly.  Why exactly did the BTN shove the river, though?  Talk about jumping out on a limb where you're just hoping.  He seems to have went all in to see where he was at.  Just call the river and hope UTG was trying to get creative or something, right?  What's gonna call you that you beat?  He's folding 88 or something, certainly.

[FSL009]

Well i was UTG so I wrote it to find out what people might put me on.  So i can not really give much insight to buttons movements and why that was what I was hoping to get from here...lol.

result is in the spoiler for the rest

(Click to show/hide)

I was also interested in the line that AA took, I know I am potential fodder to lose a big pot with AA from time to time but i would think I would exercise pot control on the end and just call...but anyway I was very suprised he had AA when we got to the end I thought he might have raised with A4 in a steal...which would have had me in a bit of trouble.

it was my last hand of a 500 hand session over four tables the ohter tables were closed and to be honest i played a junk hand UTG to see if i could get my $18 I was down back before i left...lol.

I went in with Qs4s  anyway with the action to the river i was slowing down at the end until the flush arrived I figured I was +EV based on the likelihood of button having an over pair or high cards on a steal.

anway i got very very very lucky, I dont think I played it well but given my thoughts that he most likely was a high pockets or on a high cards steal i was sort of suprised at the action...but the river with the flush i figured it would not have been 5s or 7s but when he went all in i figured I was behind but with only a small amount left it had to go in....

[DonkeyDonkDonkDonk]

I must be down several buy ins playing the last hand of a losing session.